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PASCO COUNTY
Tampa Bay · County guide

Pasco County, Florida: Homebuying and Investing Guide

A typical Pasco County house is worth about $338,000 today, down 1.9% in a year.

Illustration: Pasco County landscape and homes
Illustration

Pasco County today

Typical house value$338,000Zillow single family home value, Sep 2026
Change, past 12 months−1.9%Florida −0.9%
Average home insurance$2,756/yrState average with wind, by county
Homes in high risk flood zone15.5%Florida 13.3%
Typical value
Single family house$338,000
Condo or townhome$128,000

What this means

Pasco County home values slipped 1.9% in 12 months, now 9.8% below the Aug 2022 peak.

About 16% of homes sit in a FEMA high risk flood zone, where a mortgage requires flood insurance. Get a flood quote before you make an offer.

$163k$253k$344k$434k201620182020202220242026
Pasco County Florida. Zillow Home Value Index (single family), March and September of each year.

A specific house can rent above or below these figures, so pull rental comps for the address. Sources and method: how these figures are built.

Quick facts

Pasco CountyCompared with Florida
Population, 2025 estimate674,5162.9% of Florida
Growth since 202020%+11.1 pts
Median home value$300,90016% lower
Median gross rent$1,50510% lower
Median household income$70,4925% lower
Owner occupied homes75.7%+8.1 pts
Residents 65 and older21.9%+0.6 pts
Average commute31 min11% higher
Homes built 2010 or later17.7%+3.5 pts
Housing units permitted in 2025 per 1,000 residents11.754% higher
Veterans, share of adults9.8%+2.4 pts
Median property tax paid$2,20619% lower
Average homeowners insurance with wind$2,756

Census figures are 2020 to 2024 averages; see sources and methods.

Living in Pasco County

What stands out about Pasco County: population growth of 20% since 2020 versus 8.9% for Florida; a high share of manufactured homes (17.2%); and fewer renters than most of Florida (24.3% of homes).

West central coast county in the Tampa Bay area, long a bedroom community for Tampa and St. Petersburg, with rivers, lakes and Gulf shoreline. County seat: Dade City. Created in 1887.

Largest communities: Wesley Chapel, Land O' Lakes and Bayonet Point. Wesley Chapel alone has about 76,011 residents.

What anchors the area

  • Colleges: Saint Leo University (St. Leo); Pasco-Hernando State College (New Port Richey)
  • Economy: health care, including Moffitt Cancer Center's Speros campus; sports tourism; Zephyrhills bottled water; commercial fishing
  • Known for: Anclote Key Preserve State Park; Wiregrass Ranch Sports Campus

Growth and where it is heading

Population went from 561,909 in April 2020 to 674,516 in July 2025 (20%; Florida 8.9%). In the latest year it gained 2.79%.

2025 building permitsUnits
Single family6,191
2 to 4 units132
5 or more units1,555
Total7,878
Per 1,000 residents11.7 (well above Florida, 7.6)

What the regional research shows

Pasco has shifted from a bedroom community for Tampa to a growth market of its own along State Roads 54 and 56 and Interstate 75, with large new subdivisions in Wesley Chapel and Land O' Lakes.

Regional context lives in the Tampa Bay investor guide.

Risks to price in

YearHurricaneCategory at landfall
2004Frances2

Landfalls and named damage since 2000, from the state record.

Budget around $2,756 a year for a homeowners policy with wind; that is the county average reported to state regulators.

On the coast, flood zone and elevation can matter as much as the price.

Manufactured housing (17.2%) is common here; age and installation decide which loans work. Manufactured home loans

Flood, storms and jobs

Pasco CountyFlorida
Homes in a FEMA high risk flood zone35,604 (15.5%)13.3%
Homes with federal flood insurance23,604 (10.3%)13.7%
Insured share inside high risk zones46.9%
Flood insurance claims since 20008,660, $597,523,017 paid
Costliest flood events for insured homesHurricane Helene ($477,805,506); Hurricane Idalia ($52,804,149); Hurricane Milton ($23,962,074)
Major federal disasters declared since 200016 (11 hurricane, 2 severe storm, 1 tropical storm)

Flood insurance discount: the county (unincorporated areas) holds Community Rating System class 5, worth 25% off federal premiums in high risk zones (map dated 06/05/20).

Where people work: retail (22%), health care and social assistance (21%), hotels and restaurants (14%), out of 123,042 private jobs in Pasco County (2023). Hotels and restaurants hold 14% of those jobs (close to Florida's 13%).

Buying a home in Pasco County

2026 loan limit, one unitAmount
FHA$541,287
Conforming (above this is jumbo)$832,750

FHA works at the median price here. FHA limits

Homes cost 4.3 times the median household income here, versus 4.8 statewide. That makes ownership easier to reach than in most of the state.

Loans made here in 2025

Loan typeLoansShareFlorida shareAverage loan
Conventional12,31765.2%72.2%$273,017
FHA4,48623.7%17.8%$310,232
VA2,05510.9%9.9%$409,749
USDA410.2%0.2%$202,561
PurposeShare of 2025 loans
Home purchase63.9%
Cash out refinance10.5%
Rate and term refinance10.1%
Home improvement6.3%

That is down 2.2% from 19,319 loans in 2024. FHA share runs well above the state.

Loans that fit the local numbers

  • Conventional: the default choice here (65.2% of 2025 loans).
  • FHA: median price $300,900 vs limit $541,287.
  • VA: veterans are 9.8% of adults (Florida 7.4%).

Down payment help and taxes

Down payment help: use the statewide programs from the Florida Housing Finance Corporation. Owners paid a median $2,206 in property tax (0.73% of value). Homestead and tax caps

Investing in Pasco County

DSCR loans often price above this rate. Method. DSCR loans

Run your own numbers

Long term rentals

Pasco Countyvs Florida
Renter occupied homes24.3%-8.1 pts
Rent as share of renter income32.3%-2.9 pts
Rental vacancy5.1%-2.5 pts

Few rentals sit empty.

Short term rentals

ItemHere
County tourist tax5%
Plus state sales tax6% (plus any county surtax)
Homes held for seasonal use7% (-0.8 pts vs Florida)

Confirm zoning and HOA rules before counting on nightly rentals. State rules

Property types

Housing stockShare
Single family detached63.6%
Buildings with 5+ units9.4%
Manufactured homes17.2%
2025 loans on 2 to 4 unit properties0.26%

Largest cities and towns in Pasco County

Among places with at least 1,000 residents, Trinity has the highest median value ($459,800) and Holiday the lowest ($170,100); Bayonet Point shows the best rent to price ratio (9.06% gross).

PlacePopulationMedian valueMedian rentMedian income
Wesley Chapel76,011$403,700$2,100$107,504
Land O' Lakes38,910$377,400$2,045$98,568
Bayonet Point23,822$177,000$1,336$42,524
Jasmine Estates23,571$199,500$1,457$50,718
Holiday22,785$170,100$1,239$48,186
Zephyrhills19,668$224,700$1,148$52,108
Trinity18,907$459,800$2,451$113,580
New Port Richey17,425$183,100$1,193$47,606
Elfers15,006$202,300$1,437$56,054
Pasadena Hills13,505$338,900$1,167$84,821

Census places, including unincorporated communities. Linked places have their own guide.

Compare with neighboring counties

2 of its 5 neighbors are cheaper by median value.

CountyMedian valueMedian rentGrowth since 2020
Pasco County$300,900$1,50520%
Hernando County$276,000$1,29814%
Hillsborough County$371,500$1,6677.8%
Pinellas County$355,100$1,642-1.1%
Polk County$266,500$1,36320.7%
Sumter County$385,400$1,26921.6%

Other Florida markets

Sources

  1. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5 year estimates. 2020 to 2024.
  2. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2025. July 1, 2025.
  3. U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025 annual. 2025.
  4. FFIEC HMDA Data Browser, originated loans. 2025 and 2024.
  5. LendingTree: 2026 FHA loan limits in Florida by county (HUD figures). 2026.
  6. Florida Realtors: FHFA sets 2026 conforming loan limits. 2026.
  7. Florida Office of Economic and Demographic Research: 2026 local option tourist tax rates. 2026.
  8. Florida Office of Insurance Regulation, July 2026 Insurance Stability Unit report (average homeowners premium with wind, as of March 31, 2026). March 31, 2026.
  9. Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. week of October 22, 2026.
  10. Wikipedia: List of counties in Florida. checked October 2026.
  11. U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file. 2024.
  12. Wikipedia county article and statewide lists (colleges, teams, airports); Florida Defense Support Task Force installation map. checked October 2026.
  13. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), all homes, middle tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted. September 2026.
  14. Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index (county annual, metro and state quarterly, all transactions). through Q2 2026.
  15. U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, January to September 2026 and 2025. September 2026.
  16. FEMA OpenFEMA, NFIP Residential Penetration Rates. as of August 2026.
  17. FEMA OpenFEMA, FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims (2000 to 2026). as of September 2026.
  18. FEMA OpenFEMA, NFIP Community Status Book (Community Rating System class). August 2026.
  19. FEMA OpenFEMA, Disaster Declarations Summaries (2000 to 2026). October 2026.
  20. U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2023. 2023.
  21. U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2020 to 2024, median gross rent by bedrooms (B25031). 2020 to 2024.
  22. Hurricane landfalls: Wikipedia, List of Florida hurricanes (2000 to present). checked October 2026.

Estimates from public data; they change over time. General information, not investment, tax or legal advice, and not a loan offer. Methods and assumptions.

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