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HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY
Tampa Bay ยท County guide

Hillsborough County, Florida: Homebuying and Investing Guide

A typical Hillsborough County house is worth about $388,000 today, about flat over the past year. Data, rules and a rental calculator below.

Illustration: Hillsborough County landscape and homes
Illustration

Hillsborough County today

Typical house value$388,000Zillow single family home value, Sep 2026
Change, past 12 monthsโˆ’0.9%Florida โˆ’0.9%
Average home insurance$3,525/yrState average with wind, by county
Homes in high risk flood zone12.7%Florida 13.3%
Typical value
Single family house$388,000
Condo or townhome$184,000

What this means

Values in Hillsborough County are about flat (โˆ’0.9% in a year), now 6.7% below the Aug 2022 peak.

Permits January to September 2026: 6,281 homes, 16% fewer than 2025.

$191k$272k$353k$434k201620182020202220242026
Hillsborough County Florida. Zillow Home Value Index (single family), March and September of each year.

A specific house can rent above or below these figures, so pull rental comps for the address. Sources and method: how these figures are built.

Quick facts

Hillsborough CountyCompared with Florida
Population, 2025 estimate1,574,1156.7% of Florida
Growth since 20207.8%-1.1 pts
Median home value$371,5003% higher
Median gross rent$1,667about the same
Median household income$79,5407% higher
Owner occupied homes61.5%-6.1 pts
Residents 65 and older15%-6.3 pts
Average commute29 min3% higher
Homes built 2010 or later18.6%+4.4 pts
Housing units permitted in 2025 per 1,000 residents5.528% lower
Veterans, share of adults7.3%-0.1 pts
Median property tax paid$3,01010% higher
Average homeowners insurance with wind$3,525

Census figures are 2020 to 2024 averages; see sources and methods.

Living in Hillsborough County

Three things set apart Hillsborough County: few seasonal and vacation homes (1.6% of housing); a younger population (15% age 65 or older); and more renters than most of Florida (38.5% of homes).

Large west central county that pairs urban Tampa with waterfront, springs and natural areas along Tampa Bay. Tampa is the county seat, and the county dates to 1834.

The population centers are Tampa, Brandon and Riverview. Tampa alone has about 401,618 residents.

What anchors the area

  • Colleges: University of South Florida (Tampa); University of Tampa (Tampa); Hillsborough Community College (Tampa)
  • Major teams: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL, Tampa); Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL, Tampa); South Florida Bulls (NCAA FBS, Tampa)
  • Commercial airports: Tampa International Airport (TPA)
  • Military: MacDill Air Force Base
  • Economy: trade and transportation; professional and business services; education and health; leisure and hospitality; finance
  • Known for: Hillsborough River State Park; Alafia River State Park; Lettuce Lake Park

It skews younger than Florida, with 15% of residents 65 or older.

Growth and where it is heading

The Census counts 1,574,115 residents as of July 2025, versus 1,459,773 in 2020, a 7.8% change. In the latest year it gained 0.19%.

2025 building permitsUnits
Single family4,295
2 to 4 units44
5 or more units4,357
Total8,696
Per 1,000 residents5.5 (close to Florida, 7.6)

What the regional research shows

Tampa apartments had 5.65% vacancy and an average rent of $1,791 in mid 2026, down 3.16% from a year earlier as new buildings leased up, with a cap rate near 5.61% (Matthews, Q2 2026).2% for 2026, up from 6.8% (ATTOM). Nightly stays under seven days are limited to commercial and lodging districts in Tampa and unincorporated Hillsborough (Tampa Bay rental rules guide).

Regional context lives in the Tampa Bay investor guide.

Risks to price in

No direct landfalls here since 2000; inland wind and flood damage from passing storms is the main exposure.

Hillsborough County homeowners paid $3,525 a year on average for coverage that includes wind (state insurance regulator, March 2026).

On the coast, flood zone and elevation can matter as much as the price.

30.4% of homes predate 1980, so expect four point inspections and roof questions from insurers. Insurance and inspections

With 11% of homes in large buildings, read reserve studies and minutes before buying a condo. Condo financing

Flood, storms and jobs

Hillsborough CountyFlorida
Homes in a FEMA high risk flood zone56,828 (12.7%)13.3%
Homes with federal flood insurance54,179 (12.1%)13.7%
Insured share inside high risk zones61.4%
Flood insurance claims since 200014,084, $1,144,925,663 paid
Costliest flood events for insured homesHurricane Helene ($877,885,385); Hurricane Milton ($190,406,168); Other or unnamed flooding ($25,618,848)
Major federal disasters declared since 200014 (10 hurricane, 1 tropical storm, 1 biological)

Federal flood policies in high risk zones get 30% off here, thanks to the county (unincorporated areas)'s CRS class 4 rating. Current map: 10/07/21.

Hillsborough County counted 697,689 private jobs in 2023; the largest sectors were health care and social assistance (14%), finance and insurance (11%), professional and technical services (11%). Tourism signal: 9% work in hotels and restaurants, well below the state's 13%.

Buying a home in Hillsborough County

2026 loan limit, one unitAmount
FHA$541,287
Conforming (above this is jumbo)$832,750

FHA works at the median price here. FHA limits

Price to income: 4.7x locally, 4.8x for Florida.

Loans made here in 2025

Loan typeLoansShareFlorida shareAverage loan
Conventional21,80371.6%72.2%$377,880
FHA5,43417.8%17.8%$343,885
VA3,19910.5%9.9%$457,304
USDA230.1%0.2%$191,522
PurposeShare of 2025 loans
Home purchase56.9%
Cash out refinance13.1%
Rate and term refinance11.1%
Home improvement8.5%

Total loans rose 1.9% from 2024 (29,878 to 30,459).

Loans that fit the local numbers

  • Conventional: used for 71.6% of loans; mortgage insurance comes off later.
  • FHA: the $541,287 limit covers the typical $371,500 home.

Down payment help and taxes

Down payment help: use the statewide programs from the Florida Housing Finance Corporation. Current owners pay a median $3,010 a year in property tax; plan on more after a sale resets the value. Homestead and tax caps

Investing in Hillsborough County

DSCR loans often price above this rate. Method. DSCR loans

Run your own numbers

Long term rentals

Hillsborough Countyvs Florida
Renter occupied homes38.5%+6.1 pts
Rent as share of renter income33.9%-1.3 pts
Rental vacancy6.4%-1.2 pts

Short term rentals

ItemHere
County tourist tax6%
Plus state sales tax6% (plus any county surtax)
Homes held for seasonal use1.6% (-6.2 pts vs Florida)
Commercial airportTampa International Airport (TPA)

Nightly rental rights depend on zoning, local registration and the HOA. State rules

Property types

Housing stockShare
Single family detached56.9%
Buildings with 5+ units23%
Manufactured homes6.5%
2025 loans on 2 to 4 unit properties0.85%

Largest cities and towns in Hillsborough County

Among places with at least 1,000 residents, Tampa has the highest median value ($420,400) and University (Hillsborough County) the lowest ($164,900); University (Hillsborough County) shows the best rent to price ratio (9.42% gross).

PlacePopulationMedian valueMedian rentMedian income
Tampa401,618$420,400$1,701$75,475
Brandon119,767$339,000$1,784$79,685
Riverview113,697$384,200$2,002$100,438
Town 'n' Country85,928$337,100$1,734$73,538
University (Hillsborough County)48,127$164,900$1,295$37,207
Plant City40,887$291,800$1,409$67,439
Valrico40,239$393,700$1,937$104,839
Carrollwood36,725$384,600$1,715$81,959
Egypt Lake-Leto35,873$315,100$1,482$54,032
Sun City Center33,548$317,000$2,156$73,528

Census places, including unincorporated communities. Linked places have their own guide.

Compare with neighboring counties

4 of its 5 neighbors are cheaper by median value.

CountyMedian valueMedian rentGrowth since 2020
Hillsborough County$371,500$1,6677.8%
Hardee County$153,600$9622.4%
Manatee County$391,400$1,67117.1%
Pasco County$300,900$1,50520%
Pinellas County$355,100$1,642-1.1%
Polk County$266,500$1,36320.7%

Other Florida markets

Sources

  1. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5 year estimates. 2020 to 2024.
  2. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, Vintage 2025. July 1, 2025.
  3. U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025 annual. 2025.
  4. FFIEC HMDA Data Browser, originated loans. 2025 and 2024.
  5. LendingTree: 2026 FHA loan limits in Florida by county (HUD figures). 2026.
  6. Florida Realtors: FHFA sets 2026 conforming loan limits. 2026.
  7. Florida Office of Economic and Demographic Research: 2026 local option tourist tax rates. 2026.
  8. Florida Office of Insurance Regulation, July 2026 Insurance Stability Unit report (average homeowners premium with wind, as of March 31, 2026). March 31, 2026.
  9. Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. week of October 22, 2026.
  10. Wikipedia: List of counties in Florida. checked October 2026.
  11. U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file. 2024.
  12. Wikipedia county article and statewide lists (colleges, teams, airports); Florida Defense Support Task Force installation map. checked October 2026.
  13. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), all homes, middle tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted. September 2026.
  14. Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index (county annual, metro and state quarterly, all transactions). through Q2 2026.
  15. U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, January to September 2026 and 2025. September 2026.
  16. FEMA OpenFEMA, NFIP Residential Penetration Rates. as of August 2026.
  17. FEMA OpenFEMA, FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims (2000 to 2026). as of September 2026.
  18. FEMA OpenFEMA, NFIP Community Status Book (Community Rating System class). August 2026.
  19. FEMA OpenFEMA, Disaster Declarations Summaries (2000 to 2026). October 2026.
  20. U.S. Census Bureau, County Business Patterns 2023. 2023.
  21. U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2020 to 2024, median gross rent by bedrooms (B25031). 2020 to 2024.
  22. Hurricane landfalls: Wikipedia, List of Florida hurricanes (2000 to present). checked October 2026.

Estimates from public data; they change over time. General information, not investment, tax or legal advice, and not a loan offer. Methods and assumptions.

Talk it through with Dane.

You do not need to be ready to apply. Send the property, the question or the plan, and I will tell you what I see.